Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 5.855920 6.431067 7.064171 7.817689 8.696595 9.697492 10.935358
2024-10-27 4.873256 5.620536 6.507393 7.655817 9.131838 11.006960 13.642298
2024-11-03 4.325001 5.147916 6.174072 7.582233 9.523668 12.205804 16.394248
2024-11-10 4.120348 5.043737 6.247877 7.992529 10.568421 14.447048 21.246800
2024-11-17 3.876460 4.847252 6.157601 8.139779 11.236175 16.258302 26.054731
2024-11-24 3.589738 4.557897 5.897834 7.990791 11.404486 17.278705 29.817590
2024-12-01 3.368233 4.335398 5.704471 7.906725 11.647413 18.465375 34.428040
2024-12-08 3.153605 4.103376 5.472309 7.727630 11.689868 19.276722 38.585799
2024-12-15 3.001058 3.948178 5.338757 7.687401 11.963876 20.605808 44.819408
2024-12-22 2.867870 3.810974 5.219290 7.653447 12.238470 22.004957 52.231472
2024-12-29 2.795989 3.759249 5.226600 7.833750 12.952247 24.605485 65.867665
2025-01-05 2.641735 3.572518 5.004528 7.584527 12.758548 24.960039 71.559177
2025-01-12 2.484826 3.381594 4.776298 7.327892 12.567801 25.430562 79.211735
2025-01-19 2.359406 3.234049 4.611293 7.175918 12.591047 26.540590 92.010379
2025-01-26 2.261383 3.123343 4.498614 7.108774 12.790201 28.242625 111.681716
2025-02-02 2.247786 3.144945 4.609030 7.481248 14.081079 33.942056 178.147582
2025-02-09 2.195086 3.099599 4.599768 7.614711 14.829703 38.347577 263.403033
2025-02-16 2.105483 2.988636 4.466959 7.479671 14.863456 40.132615 333.360900
2025-02-23 2.031376 2.899534 4.367178 7.403423 15.041869 42.658208 452.696562
2025-03-02 1.950327 2.794986 4.233093 7.240860 14.954390 44.023869 577.718610
2025-03-09 1.892265 2.726415 4.160353 7.204321 15.220495 47.265876 885.096134
2025-03-16 1.838784 2.663083 4.093276 7.173474 15.500107 50.852289 1501.905927
2025-03-23 1.813483 2.646557 4.111987 7.337204 16.411610 58.830564 5184.254851